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As the world continues to grapple with the impact of climate change, there is a growing consensus that immediate and decisive action is required to mitigate its effects. One of the key targets that has emerged in this regard is the goal of achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. This goal is seen as critical in limiting the global temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, which is widely regarded as a tipping point beyond which the impact of climate change could become catastrophic.

Africa, as a continent, has been identified as one of the regions most vulnerable to the impact of climate change. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the continent is already experiencing the effects of global warming, including droughts, floods, and rising sea levels. However, Africa also has immense potential for renewable energy, and the continent has made significant progress in recent years in adopting clean energy solutions. So, what are the chances of Africa achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050?

First, it is worth noting that Africa currently accounts for only a small fraction of global carbon emissions. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), Africa accounted for just 2.8% of global energy-related CO2 emissions in 2019. However, this figure is projected to increase significantly in the coming years, as the continent’s population and economy continue to grow. Therefore, achieving net-zero carbon emissions will require significant efforts from African countries.

The good news is that Africa has made significant progress in recent years in adopting renewable energy solutions. According to the Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century (REN21), renewable energy accounted for 43.2% of the continent’s total installed power capacity in 2019. This figure includes both large-scale renewable energy projects, such as hydroelectric and wind power, as well as small-scale off-grid solutions, such as solar home systems.

Moreover, there is significant potential for further renewable energy growth in Africa. According to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), the continent has some of the best renewable energy resources in the world, including abundant solar, wind, and geothermal resources. IRENA estimates that Africa’s potential for renewable energy is 10 times its current energy demand.

However, there are also significant challenges that need to be overcome if Africa is to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. One of the biggest challenges is the lack of investment in renewable energy infrastructure. According to the African Development Bank, the continent currently only receives 3% of global investment in renewable energy, despite its huge potential. This lack of investment is a major barrier to the adoption of renewable energy solutions, particularly in rural and remote areas where electricity access is limited.

Another major challenge is the lack of policy and regulatory frameworks to support the adoption of renewable energy solutions. Many African countries still rely heavily on fossil fuels for energy, and there is often a lack of political will to transition to cleaner energy sources. Additionally, there are often regulatory barriers that prevent the adoption of renewable energy solutions, such as bureaucratic processes for obtaining permits and licenses.

 

In conclusion, Africa has both significant potential for renewable energy growth and significant challenges that need to be overcome if it is to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. While the continent currently accounts for only a small fraction of global carbon emissions, it is projected to play an increasingly significant role in the coming years. Therefore, it is critical that African countries prioritize the adoption of renewable energy solutions, and that international partners provide the necessary support and investment to help make this transition a reality. By doing so, Africa can not only mitigate the impact of climate change but also provide much-needed energy access to its growing population.

Pirmak Zwanbun

Pirmak is a senior researcher at the African Energy Institute. He has 10 years of experience across the energy verticals of power, hydrogen, oil, gas, LNG and renewable energy.